Shamrock Rovers – Dundalk

Model: TIPPSH

Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.66
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 07, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 15h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shamrock Rovers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shamrock RoversGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.011 | A: -0.022

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current1.66Now
Max odds1.67Highest point
Min odds1.66Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shamrock RoversHOME
VS
DundalkAWAY
WDWLW
Recent form
DDWLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
4.20
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.80
Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-W-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.66
V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Shamrock Rovers as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 46.8% 7D: 20.9% 15D: 8.7% 30D: 13.2%
Model insight

Shamrock Rovers – Dundalk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample292
Win Rate59.2%
Profit-1.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINUNA Strassen - Victoria Rosport1.72-10.11%
WINHammarby TFF - FC Arlanda1.63-7.35%
WINOlimpia Asuncion - Rubio Nu1.75-9.21%
WINFC Nordsjaelland - Randers FC1.65-6.04%
WINQviding FIF - BK Astrio1.62-10.11%
WINDeportivo Santaní - Encarnacion FC1.70-7.35%
WINLegia Warsaw - Zaglebie Lubin1.62-7.35%
WINBocas - Veraguas United Reserves1.63-10.11%
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Pick
1 @ 1.66
Kickoff
Ago 07, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Starts in 2d 15h
Updated
Updated 22h 58m ago
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