Olaria AC – Nova Iguacu

Model: TIPPSH

Olaria AC vs Nova Iguacu

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 05, 2026 9:45 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 3h 12m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Olaria AC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Olaria ACGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.060 | A: -0.017

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.52First seen
Current4.15Now
Max odds4.21Highest point
Min odds3.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Olaria ACHOME
VS
Nova IguacuAWAY
LDWLL
Recent form
WDWLW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
2.40
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.40
Home splitL-W-L-W-W1.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-D0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.15. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Rio (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.15
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 25.7% 7D: 20.2% 15D: 6.6% 30D: 11.6%
Model insight

Olaria AC – Nova Iguacu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-4.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3.945.87%
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
LOSSRagsveds IF - Enkopings SK4.205.56%
LOSSLyn 1896 U19 - Molde U193.905.87%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Debreceni VSC - FC Copenhagen14.205.87%06 Aug 19:00
Gyeongnam FC - Daegu FC14.055.56%07 Aug 12:30
Pick
1 @ 4.15
Kickoff
Ago 05, 2026 9:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Start
Started 3h 12m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 21m ago
Torna in alto