Model: TIPPSH
Alianza vs Atletico Bucaramanga
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.84
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 10, 2026 1:05 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 21h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.58% · n=51
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alianza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlianzaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.096 | A: 0.013Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
24/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.84First seen
Current2.84Now
Max odds2.84Highest point
Min odds2.84Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
AlianzaHOME
VS
Atletico BucaramangaAWAY
LDWLW
Recent form
DDWLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
4.80
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.60
Home splitL-D-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.84. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.58% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera A (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.84
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandNONEROI -2.58% · n=51
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Alianza has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 23.2%
7D: 34.8%
15D: 8.5%
30D: 13.1%
Model insight
Alianza – Atletico Bucaramanga Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.58% across 51 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample47
Win Rate36.2%
Profit+1.43u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Laholms FK - FC Trollhättan | 2.88 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Croydon Athletic - Burgess Hill Town | 3.00 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | FC Vaduz - St Gallen | 3.04 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Huntsville City - Crown Legacy | 2.83 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Aldosivi - Gimnasia LP | 3.00 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto - Banfield | 2.66 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Gimnasia Mendoza - Union Santa Fe | 3.00 | 2.04% |
| LOSS | Independiente FBC - Deportivo Capiata | 2.76 | 4.53% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 1 | 3.09 | 4.53% | 21 Jul 19:00 |
| Sonderjyske - Viborg | 1 | 2.91 | 4.53% | 07 Aug 19:00 |
| Wehen SV - SC Preussen Munster | 1 | 2.66 | 2.49% | 08 Aug 14:00 |
| Silkeborg IF - Odense BK | 1 | 2.67 | 3.15% | 10 Aug 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.84
Kickoff
Ago 10, 2026 1:05 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.58% • n=51
Start
Starts in 3d 21h
Updated
Updated 11m ago