Model: TipA1

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 8:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportes Recoleta. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportes RecoletaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.078 | A: -0.045

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

11/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Union San FelipeHOME

Deportes RecoletaAWAY

LLLDL

Recent form

LLDDL

Avg goals scored

0.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.80

Shots on target for

2.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

6.20

Home splitL-D-W-W-L0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-D-L1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Primera B (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.00

V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Deportes Recoleta is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -21.3% 7D: 31.4% 15D: 3.4% 30D: 11.3%

Model insight

Union San Felipe – Deportes Recoleta Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample194

Win Rate48.5%

Profit+1.15u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Talleres Remedios Reserves - Nueva Chicago Reserves	2.20	-1.48%
LOSS	KuPS Kuopio - CS U Craiova	2.15	-1.48%
LOSS	Leandro N. Alem Reserves - Puerto Nuevo Reserves	2.00	-1.48%
WIN	Marquense - CSD Municipal	2.15	-3.85%
WIN	Bromley - QPR	2.05	-3.85%
WIN	SJK Akatemia II - GBK	2.10	-1.48%
LOSS	EC Barretos U20 - CA Penapolense U20	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	Herd - Volda	2.00	-1.48%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Galtabäcks BK - Qviding FIF	2	2.10	-3.85%	07 Aug 19:00
Räppe GOIF - IFK Berga	2	2.05	-1.48%	07 Aug 19:30
San Francisco Reserves - CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2	2.00	-1.48%	07 Aug 23:00
Belmont Swansea United SC - Lambton Jaffas	2	2.20	-1.48%	08 Aug 08:30
Nordstrand - Frigg	2	2.00	-1.48%	08 Aug 13:00
Redcar Athletic - Bury	2	2.10	-3.85%	08 Aug 16:00
Storfors AIK - Umeå FF	2	2.15	-1.48%	08 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 8:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.85% • n=318

Start

Starts in 1d

Updated

Updated 1d 3h ago