Model: TIPPSH

Chivas Guadalajara vs FC Dallas

PREDICTION

@ 2.28

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 11h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.02% · n=29

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.02% · n=29

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chivas Guadalajara. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chivas GuadalajaraGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.058 | A: 0.041

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.28First seen

Current2.28Now

Max odds2.28Highest point

Min odds2.28Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Chivas GuadalajaraHOME

FC DallasAWAY

DDWLD

Recent form

WDLDW

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

Shots on target for

6.60

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

7.60

Home splitW-L-L-W-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-W-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.02% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.28

V2 BandELITEROI 11.02% · n=29

V4 BandELITEROI 11.02% · n=29

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The ELITE confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Chivas Guadalajara has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -7.4% 7D: 43.9% 15D: 6.6% 30D: 13.5%

Model insight

Chivas Guadalajara – FC Dallas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.02% and 11.02%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample19

Win Rate63.2%

Profit+8.89u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	AZS UJ Krakow (W) - Slask Wroclaw (W)	2.40	8.94%
WIN	Versailles 78 - FC Fleury 91	2.15	8.87%
WIN	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	2.46	8.94%
LOSS	ND Beltinci - Sharjah SCC	2.44	8.94%
WIN	Spokane Velocity FC - Charlotte Independence	2.27	8.94%
LOSS	Servette - Basel	2.40	8.94%
WIN	Dalian Young Boy - Shandong Taishan	2.28	8.94%
LOSS	Farul Constanta - Otelul Galati	2.30	8.94%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti	1	2.43	8.94%	24 Jul 20:30
FC Emmen - Roda JC	1	2.28	8.94%	07 Aug 20:00

Pick

1 @ 2.28

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.02% • n=29

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.02% • n=29

Start

Starts in 2d 11h

Updated

Updated 13m ago