Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Mirassol U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Mirassol U20Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.115 | A: -0.141Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market is strongly leaning toward Mirassol U20, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Mirassol U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Mirassol U20 – Itapirense U20 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Mexico U20 - Panama U20 | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Ironi Modiin | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Minnesota United - Juarez FC | 1.70 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Toluca - Seattle Sounders | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Brodd - Stabaek 2 | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Cerro Porteno Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Viimsi JK - JK Tallinna Kalev | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Itaquaquecetuba U23 - America SP U23 | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela (W) - El Salvador (W) | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 06 Aug 21:00 |
| Club America - San Diego FC | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 07 Aug 04:00 |
| Polonia Sroda Wlkp - Victoria Wrzesnia | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 07 Aug 19:00 |
| Forge FC - Vancouver FC | 1 | 1.60 | -1.89% | 08 Aug 01:00 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps - Juarez FC | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 08 Aug 04:30 |
| Devonport City - Launceston City | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 08 Aug 06:30 |
| FC Melbourne Srbija - North Geelong | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 08 Aug 07:00 |
| Tottenham - Getafe | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 08 Aug 16:00 |