Mirassol U20 – Itapirense U20

Model: TipTromba2H

Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.70
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 07, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 3h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mirassol U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mirassol U20Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.115 | A: -0.141

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.58First seen
Current1.70Now
Max odds1.70Highest point
Min odds1.58Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mirassol U20HOME
VS
Itapirense U20AWAY
LDDDD
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.00
Shots on target for
7.60
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
5.40
Home splitD-D-L-L-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L0.25 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.70
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward Mirassol U20, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Mirassol U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -7.4% 7D: 43.9% 15D: 6.6% 30D: 13.5%
Model insight

Mirassol U20 – Itapirense U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample457
Win Rate63.5%
Profit+8.80u
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WINToluca - Seattle Sounders1.73-1.89%
LOSSBrodd - Stabaek 21.70-1.89%
WINCerro Porteno Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves1.62-3.82%
LOSSViimsi JK - JK Tallinna Kalev1.67-1.89%
LOSSItaquaquecetuba U23 - America SP U231.67-3.38%
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Pick
1 @ 1.70
Kickoff
Ago 07, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Starts in 1d 3h
Updated
Updated 8m ago
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