Model: TIPPSH
Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 2:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 12h 48m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16h 52m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sagan Tosu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sagan TosuGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.123Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
29/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.08Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Sagan TosuHOME
VS
Ventforet KofuAWAY
WWLDD
Recent form
LLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.60
Shots on target for
2.80
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
4.80
Home splitW-W-D-D-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-D0.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.08. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.08
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -1.9%
7D: 24.9%
15D: 5.7%
30D: 12.2%
Model insight
Sagan Tosu – Ventforet Kofu Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample527
Win Rate48.4%
Profit-5.47u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Gyirmot SE - Kazincbarcikai BSC | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | MKS Kluczbork - Gornik Polkowice | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Aveley - Eastbourne Borough | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Vasas SC - Zalaegerszegi TE | 2.33 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento | 1.86 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Wisla Plock II - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Hanworth Villa - Taunton Town | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Benesov - Aritma Praha | 2.05 | 1.31% |
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Pick
1 @ 2.08
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 2:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 12h 48m ago
Updated
Updated 16h 52m ago