Model: TIPPSH
Ferrocarril Midland vs Deportivo Maipu
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.94
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 1d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 20h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ferrocarril Midland. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Ferrocarril MidlandGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.008 | A: 0.046Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.90First seen
Current1.94Now
Max odds1.94Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Ferrocarril MidlandHOME
VS
Deportivo MaipuAWAY
WDWWD
Recent form
LWLDW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
3.80
Home splitW-W-W-D-L1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.94. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.94
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -4.8%
7D: 22.3%
15D: 5.0%
30D: 12.0%
Model insight
Ferrocarril Midland – Deportivo Maipu Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.94. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample554
Win Rate49.8%
Profit-16.49u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Basel - FC Thun | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Police AC - Rainbow AC | 1.93 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Ehime FC - Nara Club | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Fortaleza CEIF - Cucuta Deportivo | 1.82 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gyirmot SE - Kazincbarcikai BSC | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sariyer - Muglaspor | 1.91 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Aveley - Eastbourne Borough | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento | 1.86 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Racing de Cordoba - CA San Miguel | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 08 Aug 22:00 |
| CS Deportivo Sacachispas - Mictlán | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 09 Aug 19:00 |
| Alemannia Aachen - Verl | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 09 Aug 19:30 |
| Coatepeque FC - Juventud Copalera | 1 | 1.87 | 1.04% | 09 Aug 20:00 |
| Lujan - Central Cordoba de Rosario | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 09 Aug 20:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.94
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 1d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 20h ago