Model: TIPPSH

Vard Haugesund vs Djerv 1919

PREDICTION

@ 1.81

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 3

StartStarted 1d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vard Haugesund. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vard HaugesundGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.049 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.78First seen

Current1.81Now

Max odds1.81Highest point

Min odds1.78Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vard HaugesundHOME

Djerv 1919AWAY

LLDDL

Recent form

WWLWD

Avg goals scored

1.40

3.20

Defensive weakness

2.60

1.80

Shots on target for

8.20

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

4.20

Home splitL-D-L-W-W2.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-L-D1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 3 Group 3 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.81

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Vard Haugesund is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 21.1% 7D: 14.8% 15D: 5.8% 30D: 10.5%

Model insight

Vard Haugesund – Djerv 1919 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample437

Win Rate49.9%

Profit-23.27u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Coatepeque FC - Juventud Copalera	1.87	1.04%
WIN	Basel - FC Thun	1.81	1.04%
LOSS	CS Deportivo Sacachispas - Mictlán	2.06	1.04%
WIN	Police AC - Rainbow AC	1.93	1.31%
WIN	Ehime FC - Nara Club	1.79	1.04%
WIN	Fortaleza CEIF - Cucuta Deportivo	1.82	1.04%
WIN	Universidad de Chile - Palestino	1.83	1.31%
WIN	Sariyer - Muglaspor	1.91	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Polissya Zhytomyr - FC Kharkiv	1	1.95	1.31%	10 Aug 14:30
Olympic Mobiuz - Shurtan	1	1.90	1.04%	10 Aug 16:00
Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia	1	1.93	1.04%	10 Aug 18:00
Carshalton Ath - Wingate & Finchley	1	1.83	1.04%	10 Aug 20:45
Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro	1	2.00	1.04%	13 Aug 00:00

Pick

1 @ 1.81

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 1d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 22h ago