IFK Trelleborg – Växjö Norra

Model: TIPPSH

IFK Trelleborg vs Växjö Norra

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 8h 41m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11h 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IFK Trelleborg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IFK TrelleborgGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.131 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.11Highest point
Min odds2.04Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IFK TrelleborgHOME
VS
Växjö NorraAWAY
WLWDW
Recent form
LLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.60
Shots on target for
7.60
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
7.80
Home splitW-W-D-D-W2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-W1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives IFK Trelleborg a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. IFK Trelleborg has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 20.7% 7D: 15.9% 15D: 8.2% 30D: 10.9%
Model insight

IFK Trelleborg – Växjö Norra Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample330
Win Rate51.2%
Profit-3.77u
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LOSSRennes - Brentford2.063.37%
WINPorthmadog - Rhyl2.103.37%
WINBayern Munich - Aston Villa1.923.37%
LOSSFC Yaypan Fergana - Fardu Ferghana2.153.37%
LOSSBeitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca1.953.37%
WINSekhukhune United FC - Durban City1.883.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 8h 41m ago
Updated
Updated 11h 13m ago
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