FC Yaypan Fergana – Fardu Ferghana

Model: TIPPSH

FC Yaypan Fergana vs Fardu Ferghana

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 31, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 20h 46m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Yaypan Fergana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Yaypan FerganaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.234 | A: -0.108

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.97First seen
Current1.92Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Yaypan FerganaHOME
VS
Fardu FerghanaAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.20
2.40
Shots on target for
6.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
5.80
Home splitL-L-W-L-W0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-L0.40 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uzbekistan 1st Division (uz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.95
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FC Yaypan Fergana is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 1.6% 7D: -7.1% 15D: 7.0% 30D: 8.3%
Model insight

FC Yaypan Fergana – Fardu Ferghana Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample347
Win Rate49.6%
Profit-12.68u
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WINLjungskile - Sandvikens IF1.943.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Lug 31, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 20h 46m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
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