FC Yaypan Fergana vs Fardu Ferghana
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Yaypan Fergana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC Yaypan FerganaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.234 | A: -0.108Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uzbekistan 1st Division (uz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FC Yaypan Fergana is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
FC Yaypan Fergana – Fardu Ferghana Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano | 2.08 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ajax - Burnley | 2.04 | 3.37% |
| WIN | CD Universidad San Martin - Carlos Manucci | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20 | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Queen's Park - Queen of South | 2.01 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF | 1.94 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Phoenix Rising FC - Hartford Athletic | 2.09 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Täfteå IK - Gottne IF | 1 | 2.19 | 3.37% | 01 Aug 16:00 |
| Sekhukhune United FC - Durban City | 1 | 1.88 | 3.37% | 01 Aug 18:00 |
| St Johnstone - Kilmarnock | 1 | 2.20 | 3.37% | 02 Aug 15:00 |