Vardar Skopje – Shkendija Tetovo

Model: TIPPSA

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shkendija Tetovo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shkendija TetovoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.033 | A: 0.007

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.50First seen
Current4.01Now
Max odds6.50Highest point
Min odds3.02Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vardar SkopjeHOME
VS
Shkendija TetovoAWAY
LLWLW
Recent form
WLWWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.00
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
2.40
Home splitL-W-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-L1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=49 historical similar picks. The match belongs to North Macedonia First League (mk). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=49
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=49
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Shkendija Tetovo. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shkendija Tetovo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 24.2% 7D: 17.7% 15D: 9.2% 30D: 11.5%
Model insight

Vardar Skopje – Shkendija Tetovo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample19
Win Rate15.8%
Profit-7.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSRosario Central - Racing Club3.803.92%
LOSSCD Los Chankas - Sport Boys4.073.92%
LOSSItuano - Figueirense3.812.78%
LOSSSarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U193.893.99%
LOSSVaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W)4.173.92%
Pick
2 @ 4.00
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=49
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=49
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 2h ago
Torna in alto