Santa Ana vs AD Carmelita
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Santa Ana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Santa AnaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.042 | A: -0.034Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Costa Rica Segunda (cr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Santa Ana, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Santa Ana – AD Carmelita Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Guanabara City U20 - Sao Luiz U20 | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Sporting Hasselt - Belisia Bilzen SV | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Tenerife B - CD Marino | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Aberystwyth - Treowen Stars | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Odd II - Staal Jørpeland | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Nasaf Qarshi - FK Kokand 1912 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Gornik Zabrze U19 - Stal Rzeszow U19 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Wieczysta Krakow II - AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1.50 | -3.82% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Jose SP - Santo Andre SP | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 00:00 |
| Phoenix Rising FC - Loudoun United FC | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 01:00 |
| Sigma Olomouc B - Slovacko II | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 09 Aug 10:15 |
| Young Boys II - Lugano II | 1 | 1.62 | -3.82% | 09 Aug 14:00 |
| VJS Vantaa II - Tips Vantaa | 1 | 1.65 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 17:00 |
| Breidablik - Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 09 Aug 21:15 |
| Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna | 1 | 1.53 | -3.82% | 10 Aug 20:15 |
| Paysandu - AD Confianca | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 11 Aug 01:00 |