Nasaf Qarshi – FK Kokand 1912

Model: TIPPSH

Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Kokand 1912

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.69
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 17h 51m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nasaf Qarshi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nasaf QarshiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.017 | A: -0.136

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.50First seen
Current1.69Now
Max odds1.69Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nasaf QarshiHOME
VS
FK Kokand 1912AWAY
WWDWW
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.60
2.40
Shots on target for
6.80
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
5.60
Home splitW-D-W-W-D2.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-D1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.69. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uzbekistan PFL (uz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.69
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Nasaf Qarshi showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Nasaf Qarshi is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -8.7% 7D: 15.5% 15D: 3.2% 30D: 10.4%
Model insight

Nasaf Qarshi – FK Kokand 1912 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample308
Win Rate60.1%
Profit+2.75u
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WINMiddelfart - Brabrand1.64-10.11%
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Pick
1 @ 1.69
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Starts in 17h 51m
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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