Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aberystwyth. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AberystwythGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.027 | A: -0.092Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Aberystwyth showing a clearer performance edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Aberystwyth – Treowen Stars Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Dordrecht - Ajax Reserves | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| WIN | FC Blau Weiss Linz - FC Wacker Innsbruck | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Banik Most-Sous - FK Teplice B | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Calcutta Customs - Railways FC | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Cove | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Chungnam Asan FC - Ansan Greeners FC | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| WIN | SK Artis Brno B - SFK Vrchovina | 1.75 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Middelfart - Brabrand | 1.64 | -10.11% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Avondale FC (W) - South Melbourne (W) | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 07:00 |
| Karlovac - NK Lucko | 1 | 1.69 | -6.04% | 08 Aug 10:00 |
| Heidenheim - VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 1.64 | -9.21% | 08 Aug 13:00 |
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W) | 1 | 1.68 | -6.04% | 08 Aug 13:15 |
| Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge | 1 | 1.68 | -7.35% | 08 Aug 14:00 |
| Hamilton - Alloa | 1 | 1.66 | -10.11% | 08 Aug 16:00 |