Model: TIPPSH

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo

PREDICTION

@ 3.12

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 13, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 1h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cruzeiro. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CruzeiroGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.015 | A: 0.094

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CruzeiroHOME

FlamengoAWAY

WDWLW

Recent form

DDWWW

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.40

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.00

Shots on target for

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.00

Home splitW-L-L-W-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-W-D2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.12. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa Libertadores. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.12

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 13.4% 7D: 16.8% 15D: 8.7% 30D: 11.6%

Model insight

Cruzeiro – Flamengo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample29

Win Rate44.8%

Profit+9.76u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Bury Town - Halesowen	2.95	4.53%
WIN	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama	2.93	4.53%
WIN	FC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2.90	4.53%
LOSS	Sonderjyske - Viborg	2.91	4.53%
WIN	Queretaro - Tigres UANL	3.13	4.53%
LOSS	Laholms FK - FC Trollhättan	2.88	4.53%
WIN	Croydon Athletic - Burgess Hill Town	3.00	4.53%
LOSS	Hamburger SV (W) - Everton (W)	3.10	4.53%

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Pick

1 @ 3.12

Kickoff

Ago 13, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669

Start

Starts in 4d 1h

Updated

Updated 16m ago