Basel vs FC Thun
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Basel. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BaselGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.065 | A: 0.008Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.13. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Super League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Basel. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Basel – FC Thun Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | KCCA - Kitara FC | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Drøbak/Frogn - Sandefjord 2 | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Olympic Mobiuz - Shurtan | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W) | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W) | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| New York City FC II - Orlando City II | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 11 Aug 17:00 |
| Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20 | 1 | 2.37 | 1.59% | 11 Aug 20:00 |
| Banbury - Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 1.93 | 1.31% | 11 Aug 20:45 |
| Berwick Rangers - Hearts B | 1 | 2.04 | 1.31% | 11 Aug 20:45 |
| Apia L Tigers - Sydney United 58 | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 12 Aug 11:30 |