Leiston vs Bishop's Stortford
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Leiston. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LeistonGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.112 | A: -0.078Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.89% based on n=604 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Southern Premier League Central (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Leiston's attacking profile.
Leiston – Bishop’s Stortford Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Blooming U19 - Oriente Petrolero U19 | 1.80 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | FC Heimo (W) - EPS (W) | 1.75 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | Miedz Legnica II - Barycz Sulow | 1.91 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Kagoshima United - Thespa Gunma | 1.75 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Sport Huancayo II - Santos FC | 1.95 | 7.35% |
| LOSS | Bavois - FC Zurich II | 1.75 | 6.89% |
| WIN | SFK Holesov - Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B | 1.91 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Curzon Ashton - Alfreton Town | 1.80 | 6.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social Atletico Television - Nautico Hacoaj | 1 | 1.80 | 7.35% | 08 Aug 20:00 |
| El Paso Locomotive FC - Oakland Roots | 1 | 1.95 | 6.89% | 09 Aug 03:00 |
| EC Sao Bernardo - Sao Caetano | 1 | 1.75 | 7.35% | 09 Aug 16:00 |
| Ypiranga RS - Floresta EC | 1 | 1.90 | 7.35% | 09 Aug 21:00 |
| Beroe - Ludogorets Razgrad II | 1 | 1.91 | 6.89% | 10 Aug 19:00 |