Alloa vs Stranraer
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alloa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlloaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.055 | A: -0.094Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Challenge Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Alloa's attacking profile.
Alloa – Stranraer Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Berwick Rangers - Hearts B | 2.04 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Banbury - Racing Club Warwick | 1.93 | 1.31% |
| WIN | FC Koper U19 - NK Fuzinar U19 | 1.83 | 1.31% |
| WIN | KCCA - Kitara FC | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Drøbak/Frogn - Sandefjord 2 | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Olympic Mobiuz - Shurtan | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Carshalton Ath - Wingate & Finchley | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 13 Aug 00:00 |
| UD Leiria - Benfica B | 1 | 2.02 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 15:00 |
| Nyiregyhaza Spartacus - Kisvarda FC | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 17:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| Club Atletico Mitre - CA Guemes | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Gimpo FC - Cheonan City | 1 | 1.78 | 1.31% | 16 Aug 12:30 |