Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de Resistencia
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Independiente Chivilcoy. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Independiente ChivilcoyGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.080 | A: -0.095Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.57. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Torneo A (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Independiente Chivilcoy is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Independiente Chivilcoy – Sarmiento de Resistencia Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Cerro Largo Reserves | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Rosenborg 2 - Ranheim 2 | 1.50 | -3.82% |
| WIN | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II - FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) - Resovia Rzeszow (W) | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| WIN | VJS Vantaa II - Tips Vantaa | 1.65 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Santa Ana - AD Carmelita | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Young Boys II - Lugano II | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Sigma Olomouc B - Slovacko II | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Fife - Spartans | 1 | 1.60 | -3.38% | 11 Aug 20:45 |
| Formartine United - Dundee B | 1 | 1.67 | -3.82% | 11 Aug 20:45 |
| Corona Brasov - ACS Olimpic Zarnesti | 1 | 1.55 | -1.89% | 12 Aug 16:30 |
| Bangor FC (W) - St. James Swifts (W) | 1 | 1.55 | -3.38% | 12 Aug 20:30 |
| Kazincbarcikai BSC - Kozarmisleny SE | 1 | 1.65 | -3.38% | 15 Aug 17:30 |
| FK Radnik Surdulica - FK Macva Sabac | 1 | 1.73 | -3.82% | 15 Aug 19:00 |