Haverfordwest County vs Penybont
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Haverfordwest County. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Haverfordwest CountyGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.132 | A: -0.006Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Haverfordwest County as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Haverfordwest County's attacking profile.
Haverfordwest County – Penybont Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Keilor Park (W) - Heidelberg United (W) | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | FC Jazz - OLS | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| WIN | SV Austria Salzburg - First Vienna FC 1894 | 3.41 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Desenzano - Giana Erminio | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| WIN | HPS (W) - KuPS (W) | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Parceiro Nagano - Renofa Yamaguchi | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Yeclano - FC Cartagena | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Schalke - Atalanta | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KPV Akatemia - Sporting Kristina | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 12 Aug 18:00 |
| Espanyol B - CE Europa | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 12 Aug 19:00 |
| CD Colonia Moscardo - Fuenlabrada | 1 | 3.30 | 3.56% | 12 Aug 20:00 |
| Anderlecht - PAOK Salonika | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 13 Aug 20:30 |