Aldershot vs Hartlepool
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aldershot. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AldershotGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.059 | A: -0.155Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Aldershot – Hartlepool Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Keilor Park (W) - Heidelberg United (W) | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | FC Jazz - OLS | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| WIN | SV Austria Salzburg - First Vienna FC 1894 | 3.41 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Desenzano - Giana Erminio | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| WIN | HPS (W) - KuPS (W) | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Parceiro Nagano - Renofa Yamaguchi | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Yeclano - FC Cartagena | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Schalke - Atalanta | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KPV Akatemia - Sporting Kristina | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 12 Aug 18:00 |
| Espanyol B - CE Europa | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 12 Aug 19:00 |
| CD Colonia Moscardo - Fuenlabrada | 1 | 3.30 | 3.56% | 12 Aug 20:00 |
| Anderlecht - PAOK Salonika | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 13 Aug 20:30 |
| Haverfordwest County - Penybont | 1 | 3.20 | 3.85% | 14 Aug 20:45 |