Everton vs Lille
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Lille. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LilleGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.015 | A: -0.071Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Lille. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Lille's attacking profile.
Everton – Lille Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Antalyaspor - Keciorengucu | 4.00 | 9.91% |
| LOSS | KFF Mitrovica (W) - Ludogorets Razgrad (W) | 3.75 | 9.91% |
| WIN | Palermo - FC Ingolstadt | 4.00 | 9.91% |
| WIN | Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion | 4.10 | 9.91% |
| WIN | Cabofriense - Perolas Negras | 4.00 | 9.91% |
| LOSS | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) - Ehime FC (W) | 3.80 | 9.91% |
| LOSS | St Mochtas - Killester Donnycarney FC | 3.90 | 9.91% |
| LOSS | EC Bahia - Botafogo | 3.75 | 9.91% |