EC Bahia vs Botafogo
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Botafogo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BotafogoValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.61. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=90 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Botafogo. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Botafogo's attacking profile.
EC Bahia – Botafogo Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Ituano - Figueirense | 3.81 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Ranheim - Sandnes Ulf | 3.75 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders | 3.65 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Grasshoppers - Aarau | 3.58 | 3.84% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | FC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia | 3.70 | 2.94% |