San Diego FC – Puebla

Model: TIPPSH

San Diego FC vs Puebla

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.88
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 13, 2026 6:15 AM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 12h 24m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14h 25m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Diego FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Diego FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.010 | A: -0.039

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.46First seen
Current1.88Now
Max odds1.88Highest point
Min odds1.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

San Diego FCHOME
VS
PueblaAWAY
WWLDW
Recent form
LLLDL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.80
Shots on target for
5.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
6.40
Home splitW-W-W-L-D2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-W1.20 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.88
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives San Diego FC a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to San Diego FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.9% 7D: 8.2% 15D: 11.3% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

San Diego FC – Puebla Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample318
Win Rate51.9%
Profit-0.54u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCD Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers1.883.37%
WINKairat Almaty (W) - Kaisar Kyzylorda (W)1.963.37%
WINCruzeiro - Mirassol1.763.37%
WINBFC Daugavpils - Tukums 20001.753.37%
LOSSRennes - Brentford2.063.37%
WINPorthmadog - Rhyl2.103.37%
WINBayern Munich - Aston Villa1.923.37%
LOSSBeitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca1.953.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch11.763.37%14 Aug 17:00
Man Utd - AC Milan11.913.37%15 Aug 16:45
Al Taawon Buraidah - Al Khaleej Saihat11.803.37%15 Aug 18:15
Orense - Deportivo Cuenca12.003.37%16 Aug 21:00
Pick
1 @ 1.88
Kickoff
Ago 13, 2026 6:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 12h 24m ago
Updated
Updated 14h 25m ago
Torna in alto