Leixoes vs Tondela
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Leixoes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LeixoesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.002 | A: -0.017Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Leixoes. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Leixoes's attacking profile.
Leixoes – Tondela Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Bonnyrigg Rose - Annan Athletic | 2.80 | -2.37% |
| WIN | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - San Lorenzo (W) | 2.90 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | FC Baranovichi - BATE Borisov | 2.76 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Trefelin BGC - Llandudno | 2.85 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Plymouth - Bristol City | 2.80 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Leones FC - Barcelona Guayaquil | 2.89 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Alianza - Deportes Tolima | 2.79 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Fram Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2.96 | -2.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient - Sheff Wed | 1 | 3.00 | -1.00% | 15 Aug 16:00 |