Plymouth vs Bristol City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Plymouth. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PlymouthGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.065 | A: 0.151Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.80. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Plymouth shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Plymouth – Bristol City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Fram Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2.96 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Belshina Bobruisk - FC Minsk | 2.96 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 2.82 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Aguilas Doradas - Independiente Santa Fe | 2.80 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Preston Lions | 2.96 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Kungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK | 2.82 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Panama (W) - Jamaica (W) | 2.80 | -2.37% |
| WIN | Atlantis - HIFK 2 | 2.77 | -2.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza - Deportes Tolima | 1 | 2.79 | -2.37% | 01 Aug 23:05 |
| Leones FC - Barcelona Guayaquil | 1 | 2.89 | -2.37% | 03 Aug 01:10 |