Model: TIPPSA

FC Roskilde vs Middelfart

PREDICTION

@ 2.42

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 7h 15m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9h 17m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Middelfart. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MiddelfartGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: 0.204

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.41First seen

Current2.42Now

Max odds2.42Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC RoskildeHOME

MiddelfartAWAY

DWWDD

Recent form

DWWWW

Avg goals scored

2.60

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.40

Shots on target for

4.40

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

2.60

Home splitD-D-D-W-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-L-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.42. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 2 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.42

V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Middelfart has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -11.3% 7D: 1.9% 15D: 10.0% 30D: 8.5%

Model insight

FC Roskilde – Middelfart Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.42. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample88

Win Rate38.6%

Profit-6.84u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Pacos Ferreira - Paredes	2.38	0.84%
LOSS	Puchov - Spartak Myjava	2.39	0.84%
WIN	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	2.47	0.84%
LOSS	BATE Borisov - FC Vitebsk	2.45	0.84%
WIN	MFK Skalica - FC Kosice	2.17	1.21%
LOSS	Rhyl - Caersws	2.66	0.84%
LOSS	Tobol Kostanay - Partizan Belgrade	2.24	1.21%
LOSS	Brighton (W) - PSG (W)	2.25	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.42

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717

Start

Started 7h 15m ago

Updated

Updated 9h 17m ago