BATE Borisov – FC Vitebsk

Model: TIPPSA

BATE Borisov vs FC Vitebsk

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.51
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 14h 45m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18h 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Vitebsk. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC VitebskGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.024 | A: 0.214

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.72First seen
Current2.51Now
Max odds2.64Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BATE BorisovHOME
VS
FC VitebskAWAY
WDLDD
Recent form
LWWWW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.80
Shots on target for
2.60
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
2.20
Home splitW-D-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.51. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belarus Premier League (by). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.51
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for FC Vitebsk. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FC Vitebsk has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -17.8% 7D: -15.3% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 5.4%
Model insight

BATE Borisov – FC Vitebsk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample72
Win Rate45.8%
Profit+9.02u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPacos Ferreira - Paredes2.380.84%
LOSSPuchov - Spartak Myjava2.390.84%
WINPortadown - Dungannon Swifts2.470.84%
LOSSRhyl - Caersws2.660.84%
WINAvai - CRB2.740.84%
LOSSFC Brno II - Frydek Mistek2.420.84%
WINChattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha2.580.84%
LOSSDundee - Aberdeen2.610.84%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Sarmiento - Huracan22.680.84%16 Aug 20:00
Pick
2 @ 2.51
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 14h 45m ago
Updated
Updated 18h 29m ago
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