Estudiantes Merida – Academia Anzoategui FC

Model: TIPPSA

Estudiantes Merida vs Academia Anzoategui FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.95
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 22h 28m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.73% · n=54
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Academia Anzoategui FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Academia Anzoategui FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.014 | A: 0.001

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.61First seen
Current3.95Now
Max odds3.95Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Estudiantes MeridaHOME
VS
Academia Anzoategui FCAWAY
WLWDL
Recent form
LLWWD
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
5.00
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
2.80
Home splitW-W-L-L-W0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.95. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.73% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Primera Division (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.95
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.73% · n=54
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -30.6% 7D: -7.3% 15D: 8.8% 30D: 6.6%
Model insight

Estudiantes Merida – Academia Anzoategui FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.92% and 4.73%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate11.5%
Profit-14.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGuayaquil City - Club Atletico Libertad4.182.78%
LOSSAthletico Paranaense - Bragantino4.193.92%
LOSSFalkenbergs FF - Norrby IF3.853.92%
LOSSRKC - FC Dordrecht3.773.99%
WINOsasuna - Al Ain SCC4.102.78%
LOSSAFC Wimbledon - Newport County4.203.92%
LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSRosario Central - Racing Club3.803.92%
Pick
2 @ 3.95
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.73% • n=54
Start
Started 22h 28m ago
Updated
Updated 1d ago
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