RKC – FC Dordrecht

Model: TIPPSA

RKC vs FC Dordrecht

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.77
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 14m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Dordrecht. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC DordrechtGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.040 | A: 0.034

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.91First seen
Current3.80Now
Max odds4.20Highest point
Min odds3.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

RKCHOME
VS
FC DordrechtAWAY
DWLDD
Recent form
WLWWL
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.00
Shots on target for
3.80
8.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
6.40
Home splitW-L-D-D-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-D1.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.77. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=49 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.77
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=49
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=49
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FC Dordrecht is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 24.5% 7D: 1.2% 15D: 16.6% 30D: 11.8%
Model insight

RKC – FC Dordrecht Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample32
Win Rate12.5%
Profit-17.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Viktoriya Sumy - Kolos Kovalivka II3.684.77%
LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSRosario Central - Racing Club3.803.92%
LOSSClub Atletico Libertad - Delfin SC3.694.77%
LOSSOstersunds FK - Landskrona BoIS3.604.77%
WINAnsan Greeners FC - Jinju Citizen FC3.523.84%
LOSSItuano - Figueirense3.812.78%
LOSSSarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U193.893.99%
Pick
2 @ 3.77
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=49
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=49
Start
Starts in 1h 14m
Updated
Updated 1h 9m ago
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