Model: TipA1

Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt

PREDICTION

@ 3.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 8:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 3h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.74% · n=189

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Puerto Montt. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Puerto MonttGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.015 | A: 0.027

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.52First seen

Current3.53Now

Max odds3.53Highest point

Min odds3.51Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Santiago WanderersHOME

Puerto MonttAWAY

DDLWW

Recent form

LDWWL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

3.60

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

4.80

Home splitD-L-W-L-D1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-W-L0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.74% based on n=189 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Primera B (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.50

V2 BandNONEROI -3.74% · n=189

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -31.0% 7D: -5.1% 15D: 12.3% 30D: 8.7%

Model insight

Santiago Wanderers – Puerto Montt Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.74% across 189 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample38

Win Rate15.8%

Profit-17.05u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Tatran Presov (W) - Spartak Trnava (W)	3.50	-3.74%
LOSS	Gornik Polkowice - Miedz Legnica II	3.60	-3.74%
LOSS	Union Santa Fe - Lanus	3.60	-3.74%
LOSS	Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosi	3.50	-3.74%
LOSS	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Petah Tikva	3.40	-0.53%
LOSS	Remo - Vitoria	3.30	-0.53%
LOSS	Tuggeranong Utd - Belconnen United	3.50	-3.74%
LOSS	RKC Third Coast - Chicago Dutch Lions	3.30	-3.74%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Alcione Milano - Novara	2	3.60	-3.74%	16 Aug 21:00

Pick

2 @ 3.50

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 8:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.74% • n=189

Start

Starts in 1d 3h

Updated

Updated 1d 8h ago