Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Lierse Kempenzonen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Lierse KempenzonenGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.093 | A: 0.121Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.88. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.82% based on n=246 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belgium First Division B (be). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Lierse Kempenzonen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Excelsior Virton – Lierse Kempenzonen Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AC Carpi - US Pianese | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| WIN | BKMA FC - Ararat Yerevan | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| WIN | NK Podvinci - NK Odranci | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| WIN | HIFK - Atlantis | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | FC Flora Tallinn (W) - Paide Linnanaiskond (W) | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | SFK Vrchovina - FC Trinity Zlin B | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Derby U21 - Hull U21 | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Hestrafors IF - Qviding FIF | 2.75 | 5.52% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDA Monte Maiz - Olimpo B Blanca | 2 | 3.10 | 5.52% | 16 Aug 20:00 |
| Valur Reykjavik - KA Akureyri | 2 | 2.88 | 5.52% | 16 Aug 21:15 |
| PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) - TPS (W) | 2 | 2.75 | 5.52% | 17 Aug 17:30 |