AC Carpi – US Pianese

Model: TIPPSA

AC Carpi vs US Pianese

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 22h 5m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.73% · n=54
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is US Pianese. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: US PianeseGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.135 | A: 0.032

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.11First seen
Current3.90Now
Max odds3.90Highest point
Min odds3.11Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AC CarpiHOME
VS
US PianeseAWAY
WWLLW
Recent form
LDWDD
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
2.00
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
3.20
Home splitW-L-L-W1.50 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.73% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Cup (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.90
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.73% · n=54
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. US Pianese is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -29.0% 7D: -11.5% 15D: 5.9% 30D: 5.3%
Model insight

AC Carpi – US Pianese Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.92% and 4.73%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate10.3%
Profit-17.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFalkenbergs FF - Norrby IF3.853.92%
LOSSRKC - FC Dordrecht3.773.99%
WINOsasuna - Al Ain SCC4.102.78%
LOSSFC Viktoriya Sumy - Kolos Kovalivka II3.684.77%
LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSRosario Central - Racing Club3.803.92%
LOSSClub Atletico Libertad - Delfin SC3.694.77%
LOSSCD Los Chankas - Sport Boys4.073.92%
Pick
2 @ 3.90
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.73% • n=54
Start
Started 22h 5m ago
Updated
Updated 1d ago
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