Pogon Szczecin II – Gwardia Koszalin

Model: TipTromba2H

Pogon Szczecin II vs Gwardia Koszalin

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.55
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN6 - 1
StartStarted 3h 9m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pogon Szczecin II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pogon Szczecin IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

12/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.55First seen
Current1.55Now
Max odds1.57Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pogon Szczecin IIHOME
VS
Gwardia KoszalinAWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LW
Avg goals scored
5.80
1.50
Defensive weakness
0.80
3.50
Shots on target for
9.00
3.50
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
9.00
Home splitW-W-W-W-D5.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W1.50 scored / 3.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.55. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.55
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Pogon Szczecin II as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Pogon Szczecin II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -31.4% 7D: -11.6% 15D: 6.4% 30D: 5.6%
Model insight

Pogon Szczecin II – Gwardia Koszalin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample512
Win Rate63.7%
Profit+11.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSMFK Ruzomberok (W) - KFC Komarno (W)1.73-1.89%
WINStiinta Poli Timisoara - FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia1.70-1.89%
LOSSMarist FC - SOSA1.53-1.89%
WINFK BE1 - FC Hegelmann II1.50-3.38%
WINDeportivo Recoleta Reserves - 2 de Mayo Reserves1.70-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.55
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Started 3h 9m ago
Updated
Updated 9h 21m ago
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