FK BE1 – FC Hegelmann II

Model: TipTromba2H

FK BE1 vs FC Hegelmann II

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 1d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK BE1. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK BE1Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.177 | A: -0.013

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

6/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.20First seen
Current1.50Now
Max odds1.50Highest point
Min odds1.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK BE1HOME
VS
FC Hegelmann IIAWAY
WLLLW
Recent form
LWLLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.60
Shots on target for
2.40
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
8.00
Home splitW-L-W-W-W2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W-L1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania 1 Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.50
V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -27.8% 7D: -5.1% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 7.3%
Model insight

FK BE1 – FC Hegelmann II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample511
Win Rate63.6%
Profit+10.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINDeportivo Alexis Garcia - Sellos Colombianos1.50-3.82%
WINInstituto Cordoba U20 - Quilmes U201.70-1.89%
WINUitm United - UITM Perlis1.53-3.82%
LOSSMFK Ruzomberok (W) - KFC Komarno (W)1.73-1.89%
WINPogon Szczecin II - Gwardia Koszalin1.55-1.89%
WINStiinta Poli Timisoara - FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia1.70-1.89%
LOSSMarist FC - SOSA1.53-1.89%
WINDeportivo Recoleta Reserves - 2 de Mayo Reserves1.70-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.50
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115
Start
Started 1d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 16h ago
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