Austin FC vs FC Dallas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Austin FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Austin FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.110 | A: 0.044Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Austin FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Austin FC – FC Dallas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Baltyk Koszalin - Flota Swinoujscie | 3.08 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Balzan FC - Marsaxlokk FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | ASD Seravezza Calcio - Pistoiese | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Bulls FC Academy - Northern Tigers | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Boroondara Eagles (W) - Bulleen Lions (W) | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | El Nacional - San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| WIN | East Bengal Club - Al Arabi SC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foggia - Team Altamura | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 16 Aug 21:00 |
| FK Novi Pazar - Vojvodina | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 17 Aug 20:00 |