Cienciano – Deportivo Garcilaso

Model: TIPPSH

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.45
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 17, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 7h
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cienciano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CiencianoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.105 | A: 0.084

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.23First seen
Current2.45Now
Max odds2.53Highest point
Min odds2.23Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CiencianoHOME
VS
Deportivo GarcilasoAWAY
WLWWL
Recent form
WWWLD
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.40
Shots on target for
6.00
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
3.40
Home splitW-W-W-L-L3.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-L-D0.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.45. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 1 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.45
V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Cienciano has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -11.1% 7D: -8.4% 15D: 8.3% 30D: 7.3%
Model insight

Cienciano – Deportivo Garcilaso Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate62.1%
Profit+14.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINNSI Runavik II - HB Torshavn II2.498.94%
LOSSSölvesborgs GoIF - Nosaby2.508.94%
LOSSKSK Heist - Dessel Sport2.598.94%
WINShanghai Shenhua U20 - Shenzhen Peng City U202.478.94%
WINValencia (W) - Levante UD (W)2.3811.02%
WINMiddleham United FC - Pointe Michel FC2.388.94%
WINNEC - Olympiacos2.7011.02%
LOSSToluca - Los Angeles FC2.618.94%
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Pick
1 @ 2.45
Kickoff
Ago 17, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.94% • n=311
Start
Starts in 1d 7h
Updated
Updated 10m ago
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