Model: TIPPSH

KSK Heist vs Dessel Sport

PREDICTION

@ 2.61

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 12, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 2

StartStarted 3h 45m ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KSK Heist. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KSK HeistGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.033 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.61Now

Max odds2.61Highest point

Min odds2.50Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KSK HeistHOME

Dessel SportAWAY

LDLW

Recent form

WLDW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.75

Defensive weakness

1.25

1.00

Shots on target for

3.25

4.25

SoT conceded pressure

4.75

6.50

Home splitL-D-L0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-W1.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.61. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belgium Amateur Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.61

V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor KSK Heist. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 21.6% 7D: 10.3% 15D: 14.5% 30D: 12.4%

Model insight

KSK Heist – Dessel Sport Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.61. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample24

Win Rate54.2%

Profit+8.58u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Shanghai Shenhua U20 - Shenzhen Peng City U20	2.47	8.94%
WIN	Valencia (W) - Levante UD (W)	2.38	11.02%
WIN	Middleham United FC - Pointe Michel FC	2.38	8.94%
LOSS	Banik Ostrava B - FC Silon Taborsko	2.73	8.94%
WIN	NEC - Olympiacos	2.70	11.02%
LOSS	Toluca - Los Angeles FC	2.61	8.94%
WIN	AZS UJ Krakow (W) - Slask Wroclaw (W)	2.40	8.94%
WIN	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	2.46	8.94%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti	1	2.43	8.94%	24 Jul 20:30
Kispest Honved - MTK Budapest	1	2.54	8.94%	01 Aug 19:30
Charlton - Derby	1	2.71	8.94%	15 Aug 16:00

Pick

1 @ 2.61

Kickoff

Ago 12, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.94% • n=311

Start

Started 3h 45m ago

Updated

Updated 5h 47m ago