Model: TIPPSA

Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts

PREDICTION

@ 2.47

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 2d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dungannon Swifts. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dungannon SwiftsGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.061 | A: -0.044

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.41First seen

Current2.47Now

Max odds2.47Highest point

Min odds2.41Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PortadownHOME

Dungannon SwiftsAWAY

LLWLD

Recent form

WLWDW

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.00

Shots on target for

3.20

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

3.00

Home splitL-D0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-L2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.47. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Premier (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.47

V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Dungannon Swifts shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Dungannon Swifts is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -25.5% 7D: -19.4% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 4.0%

Model insight

Portadown – Dungannon Swifts Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.47. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample88

Win Rate38.6%

Profit-4.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Ajax Reserves - FC Emmen	2.50	0.84%
LOSS	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Beitar Jerusalem	2.33	0.84%
LOSS	Deportes Iquique - CD Antofagasta	2.57	0.84%
LOSS	SK Beveren - Anderlecht	2.36	0.84%
LOSS	Sarmiento - Huracan	2.68	0.84%
WIN	Pacos Ferreira - Paredes	2.38	0.84%
LOSS	Puchov - Spartak Myjava	2.39	0.84%
LOSS	BATE Borisov - FC Vitebsk	2.45	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.47

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717

Start

Started 2d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 6h ago