Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Austin FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Austin FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.060 | A: 0.110Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.58% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Austin FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Seattle Sounders – Austin FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Monori SE - FC Dabas | 5.00 | 3.58% |
| WIN | Tiszafured VSE - Ozd Sajovolgye | 5.00 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Independiente Santa Fe - Union Magdalena | 5.00 | 5.00% |
| LOSS | Alianza Universidad - Sport Huancayo II | 5.00 | 3.58% |
| WIN | Montpellier - Cannes | 5.00 | 5.00% |
| LOSS | FC Dordrecht - Borussia Dortmund II | 4.75 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Grazer AK - SV Kapfenberg | 4.75 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Metz - Versailles 78 | 5.00 | 5.00% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGF Aarhus - Odense BK | 2 | 4.75 | 3.58% | 21 Aug 19:00 |