SK Sturm Graz (W) – FC Salzburg (W)

Model: TIPPSH

SK Sturm Graz (W) vs FC Salzburg (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 2:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 8h 19m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SK Sturm Graz (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SK Sturm Graz (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds1.90Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SK Sturm Graz (W)HOME
VS
FC Salzburg (W)AWAY
WWDLL
Recent form
WWDDL
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.00
Shots on target for
4.50
2.50
SoT conceded pressure
4.75
4.50
Home splitW-D-L-L2.75 scored / 2.25 conceded
Away splitD-D-L0.67 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria League 1 Women (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. SK Sturm Graz (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -18.6% 7D: -17.1% 15D: 2.3% 30D: 5.5%
Model insight

SK Sturm Graz (W) – FC Salzburg (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
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Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 2:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 8h 19m
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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