FK Banga (W) – Kauno Rajono FA (W)

Model: TIPPSH

FK Banga (W) vs Kauno Rajono FA (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.78
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Banga (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Banga (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.016 | A: -0.011

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.48First seen
Current1.78Now
Max odds1.78Highest point
Min odds1.48Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Banga (W)HOME
VS
Kauno Rajono FA (W)AWAY
WLLDW
Recent form
LLLDD
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.80
Shots on target for
6.40
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
8.20
Home splitW-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 3.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania A Lyga Women (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.78
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FK Banga (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -19.6% 7D: -18.5% 15D: 2.6% 30D: 4.2%
Model insight

FK Banga (W) – Kauno Rajono FA (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample447
Win Rate51.5%
Profit-15.25u
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WINLautoka FC - Nadi FC1.851.31%
LOSSMatsumoto Y FC - Reilac Shiga1.791.31%
WINFK Teplice B - SK Sokol Brozany1.871.04%
LOSSCA Huracan U20 - Godoy Cruz U201.821.04%
LOSSSV Donau Klagenfurt - SVG Bleiburg1.951.31%
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Pick
1 @ 1.78
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 2h ago
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