PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs TPS (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is TPS (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TPS (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.059 | A: -0.080Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.52% based on n=654 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Ykkonen Women (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices TPS (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) – TPS (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | BKMA FC - Ararat Yerevan | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| WIN | CSM Ramnicu Valcea - CSM Slatina | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Excelsior Virton - Lierse Kempenzonen | 2.88 | 5.52% |
| WIN | NK Podvinci - NK Odranci | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | SK Rapid Psary - Meteor Prague VIII | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | FC Flora Tallinn (W) - Paide Linnanaiskond (W) | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | SFK Vrchovina - FC Trinity Zlin B | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Derby U21 - Hull U21 | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik - KA Akureyri | 2 | 2.88 | 5.52% | 16 Aug 21:15 |