Racing Santander – Villarreal

Model: TIPPSA

Racing Santander vs Villarreal

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 1d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Villarreal. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VillarrealGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.093 | A: -0.073

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

23/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.35First seen
Current2.08Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Racing SantanderHOME
VS
VillarrealAWAY
DDWLL
Recent form
DWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.40
Shots on target for
2.80
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
3.80
Home splitD-D-W-L-W2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-W-L1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.08. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain La Liga (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.08
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Villarreal. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Villarreal's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -18.8% 7D: -17.7% 15D: 0.1% 30D: 3.5%
Model insight

Racing Santander – Villarreal Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample78
Win Rate42.3%
Profit-7.86u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSStord - Åsane Fotball 22.11-0.84%
WINFollo - Rana FK2.09-0.84%
WINBaltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow2.05-0.84%
LOSSPlatense - Boca Juniors2.03-0.84%
LOSSFuerte San Francisco - AD Isidro Metapan2.05-0.84%
WINFF Jaro II - Huima/Urho2.08-0.84%
LOSSUE Olot - UE Sant Andreu2.09-0.84%
WINMacarthur Rams - Blacktown Spartans2.17-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.08
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Started 1d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 13h ago
Torna in alto