Athens Kallithea – Larissa

Model: TIPPSH

Athens Kallithea vs Larissa

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 3h 1m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.88% · n=230
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 4m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Athens Kallithea. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Athens KallitheaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.146 | A: 0.095

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current3.33Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Athens KallitheaHOME
VS
LarissaAWAY
LLWDD
Recent form
WWLWD
Avg goals scored
0.80
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
2.33
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.33
5.20
Home splitL-W-D1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-D-L1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.33. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.88% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Greece Cup (gr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.33
V2 BandNONEROI -1.88% · n=230
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Athens Kallithea. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -26.4% 7D: -19.4% 15D: -3.2% 30D: 3.5%
Model insight

Athens Kallithea – Larissa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.33. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.88% across 230 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample19
Win Rate42.1%
Profit+6.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBochum II - Rot-Weiss Oberhausen3.09-2.37%
LOSSGirona B - UE Sant Andreu3.29-1.88%
WINRacing Club de Montevideo - Nacional De Football3.27-1.88%
WINUnia Skierniewice - Arka Gdynia3.36-1.88%
LOSSChongqing Tonglianglong - Shanghai Port3.35-1.88%
LOSSCharleroi - Rayo Vallecano3.26-1.88%
WINUCD - Cork City3.11-2.37%
LOSSHume City - Oakleigh Cannons3.27-1.88%
Pick
1 @ 3.33
Kickoff
Ago 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.88% • n=230
Start
Started 3h 1m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 4m ago
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