Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Lugano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LuganoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.059 | A: 0.068Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.94. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Lugano has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Lugano – Maccabi Tel Aviv Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Everton de Vina - Audax Italiano | 1.96 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Man Utd - AC Milan | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CD Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Al Taawon Buraidah - Al Khaleej Saihat | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kairat Almaty (W) - Kaisar Kyzylorda (W) | 1.96 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Cruzeiro - Mirassol | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| WIN | BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Criciuma U20 - Chapecoense U20 | 1 | 2.04 | 3.37% | 16 Aug 20:00 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse | 1 | 1.78 | 3.37% | 16 Aug 20:15 |
| Orense - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.00 | 3.37% | 16 Aug 21:00 |
| Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1 | 1.83 | 3.37% | 17 Aug 20:15 |