Stegersbach – Oberwart

Model: TipTromba15H

Stegersbach vs Oberwart

PREDICTION
1
@ 12.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 18, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 8
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.18% · n=35
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Stegersbach. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: StegersbachGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.139

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.50First seen
Current14.00Now
Max odds17.00Highest point
Min odds6.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

StegersbachHOME
VS
OberwartAWAY
L
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
2.00
3.20
Defensive weakness
8.00
2.60
Shots on target for
4.00
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
10.00
3.40
Home splitL2.00 scored / 8.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L-D3.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 12.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.18% based on n=35 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria Amateur Cup (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd12.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.18% · n=35
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Stegersbach. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 35.9% 7D: -9.3% 15D: 0.9% 30D: 3.7%
Model insight

Stegersbach – Oberwart Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 12.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.18% across 35 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate14.3%
Profit+5.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSao Bento U20 (W) - Palmeiras U20 (W)12.002.18%
LOSSCosta Rica U21 - Colombia U2112.002.18%
LOSSClub Davema (W) - Nacional Potosi (W)12.002.18%
LOSSSouthern California Dutch Lions Women - Capo FC (W)12.002.18%
WINYanapuma (W) - Alianza Lima (W)12.002.18%
LOSSBuhimba United Saints FC - Vipers SC12.004.11%
Pick
1 @ 12.00
Kickoff
Ago 18, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.18% • n=35
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 4h ago
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