Mindil Aces – Darwin Olympic

Model: TIPPSH

Mindil Aces vs Darwin Olympic

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 18, 2026 2:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 1d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mindil Aces. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mindil AcesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.167 | A: -0.014

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.33First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.63Highest point
Min odds1.33Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mindil AcesHOME
VS
Darwin OlympicAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WWLDW
Avg goals scored
4.40
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
7.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
3.40
Home splitL-W-W-W-W4.00 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-D-L1.80 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Darwin Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Mindil Aces, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mindil Aces's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 35.9% 7D: -9.3% 15D: 0.9% 30D: 3.7%
Model insight

Mindil Aces – Darwin Olympic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample379
Win Rate62.0%
Profit+15.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINClub Sport Colombia - Presidente Hayes1.69-9.21%
WINWigan - Aston Villa U211.68-9.21%
WINCoquimbo Unido (W) - Huachipato (W)1.63-9.21%
LOSSDinamo Zagreb - Viking FK1.72-9.89%
LOSSFK Spartak Kostroma - FC Ufa1.70-9.21%
WINDeportivo San Pedro - Aurora1.66-4.66%
WINAland United (W) - HPS (W)1.71-10.11%
WINONS (W) - HJK II (W)1.65-7.35%
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New York City FC II - FC Cincinnati II11.75-4.66%19 Aug 23:00
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Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Ago 18, 2026 2:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 1d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 7h ago
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