Model: TipA1

Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) vs Auckland United (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 19, 2026 11:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarted 16h 4m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Auckland United (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Auckland United (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.213 | A: -0.128

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.29Now

Max odds2.29Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)HOME

Auckland United (W)AWAY

WWWWD

Recent form

WLLWW

Avg goals scored

2.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

0.40

0.80

Shots on target for

5.33

11.80

SoT conceded pressure

9.67

3.00

Home splitW-W-D2.67 scored / 0.33 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W-D2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.03% based on n=125 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.20

V2 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125

V4 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Auckland United (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 32.3% 7D: -10.0% 15D: -1.1% 30D: 3.4%

Model insight

Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) – Auckland United (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.03% and 1.03%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample90

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+12.52u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Morecambe - South Shields	2.38	1.02%
WIN	Shenzhen Peng City U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U20	2.20	1.03%
WIN	Radnik Bijeljina - Zrinjski Mostar	2.00	1.03%
LOSS	Ullern - FK Union Carl Berner	2.10	1.03%
LOSS	Hellerup IK - FA 2000	2.40	1.02%
WIN	Gladesville Ravens (W) - Hills United FC (W)	2.20	1.03%
LOSS	NK Varazdin - HNK Rijeka	2.10	1.03%
LOSS	SV Tillmitsch - FC Gleisdorf 09	2.30	1.02%

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IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) - Throttur Reykjavik (W)	2	2.38	1.02%	21 Aug 20:00
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Pick

2 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Ago 19, 2026 11:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.03% • n=125

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.03% • n=125

Start

Started 16h 4m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 3h ago